FK Trostyanets vs UCSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
13º
13º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Trostyanets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
FKT
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
FKT
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 0
KAR
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NYV
1 - 1
FKT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 1
NYV
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 0
SST
16%
21%
62%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUT
0 - 2
UCS
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
3 - 0
FKK
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 1
UCS
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |