Transinvest Vilnius vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
10º
9º
21
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 44 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
10º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAI
1 - 0
FKT
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
EUF
1 - 11
FKT
5%
11%
84%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
KZA
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
2 - 0
FKT
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
HLI
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
FAS
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
HLI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |