FK Tolyatti vs Unit Samara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FKT
1 - 1
LAD
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ENE
0 - 1
FKT
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
FKT
2 - 1
TYU
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
FKT
3 - 2
FCC
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
VNN
4 - 1
FKT
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Unit Samara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SOK
10 - 0
UNS
77%
16%
8%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
UNS
1 - 6
GAZ
14%
22%
64%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
UNS
0 - 9
GUC
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
AKT
1 - 5
UNS
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
ALA
7 - 0
UNS
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |