UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-4
Teplice vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teplice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SOP
1 - 0
TEP
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TEP
3 - 0
ZLI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
JAB
2 - 0
TEP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TEP
2 - 1
VKP
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 0
TEP
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 0
SAT
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 1
YAR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 0
YAR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 2
TER
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 1
FCR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |