Temp Barnaul vs Novosibirsk-M analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
5º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temp Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
2 - 1
FRM
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
2 - 5
MET
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 3
FTB
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FRK
1 - 0
FTB
27%
21%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 0
FTB
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Novosibirsk-M
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SDB
4 - 4
FKN
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FKN
4 - 1
FKB
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FRK
2 - 2
FKN
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 4
FKN
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
6 - 0
TOR
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |