Svetlogorsk vs Leskhoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
76.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svetlogorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 3
FKV
14%
15%
71%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
2 - 5
FKV
17%
17%
65%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MNP
3 - 1
FKS
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IPU
4 - 3
FKS
46%
21%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
8 - 2
FKS
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Leskhoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
MNP
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
4 - 0
FCL
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCN
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FKV
1 - 1
FCL
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 0
MNP
79%
12%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |