Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-2
FK Spartaks vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Spartaks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 2
FKS
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 3
APO
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
LIE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
FKJ
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
FKS
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
AST
2 - 0
KAI
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
AST
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AST
3 - 0
OKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 4
AST
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AST
4 - 0
ATY
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |