FK Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
13º
25
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95.5% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
TOD
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 0
FKS
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 2
FKS
13%
17%
70%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 5
CRV
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 1
FKS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
NPA
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SME
1 - 3
NPA
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 1
NPA
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 4
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |