FK Tuzla City vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
POS
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 1
SLO
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 0
GOS
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 2
BBL
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
IGM
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 0
SAR
28%
28%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
0 - 0
SAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |