Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Sloboda Uzice vs FBK Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloboda Uzice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SLO
4 - 0
NPA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SRE
1 - 2
SLO
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
MLA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 1
SLO
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLO
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FKT
2 - 0
FBK
19%
20%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
FBK
1 - 1
FKT
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FBK
3 - 0
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SIL
1 - 1
FBK
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
FBK
2 - 3
VET
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |