Slavgorod vs Kostyukovichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
82.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
11º
17º
18º
19
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 35 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 34 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 10 |
17º
|
97% | |
|
|
17º
|
8 | 8 |
18º
|
97% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 1 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
8 - 0
FKS
94%
4%
2%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KRI
9 - 0
FKS
93%
5%
2%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 6
FKV
31%
20%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NCH
3 - 1
FKS
88%
9%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 9
FKB
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Kostyukovichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
7 - 2
FKV
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NCH
4 - 0
FKK
47%
21%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 1
FKB
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
3 - 1
FKK
40%
21%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 4
FCG
6%
13%
81%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |