FK Skopje vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
12º
11º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
FKS
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
16%
27%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 1
FKS
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
12%
22%
67%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
RAB
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |