Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
4º
3º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 1
FAS
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
FAS
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
FAS
14%
18%
68%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 0
DAI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 1
ZAL
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
HLI
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
HLI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 3
TRA
60%
21%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |