Siauliai vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
4º
3º
87
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 3
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
FAS
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
KZA
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
TRA
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 0
SUD
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NEP
1 - 1
PAN
18%
21%
61%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
TRA
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
BAN
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |