Siauliai vs Banga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
9º
5º
24
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 77 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 57 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 49 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
FAS
23%
22%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
FAS
16%
20%
65%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
KZA
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 3
BAN
40%
24%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
BAN
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 3
BAN
74%
16%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
LIE
8 - 0
BAN
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |