FK Serpukhov vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Serpukhov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FKS
2 - 0
MOR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AVA
1 - 0
FKS
61%
24%
15%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
FKG
1 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
NIM
1 - 4
FKS
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FKS
1 - 1
DIV
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NIM
1 - 2
ZEN
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ZEN
2 - 1
MET
56%
23%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ZEN
1 - 0
DIV
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
ZEN
32%
28%
40%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MET
1 - 0
ZEN
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |