Senno vs Niva Tolochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SEN
0 - 8
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 0
SEN
80%
13%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 0
GAV
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GOL
1 - 2
SEN
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SEN
3 - 1
FKA
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niva Tolochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FKL
4 - 0
NIT
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FKP
3 - 0
NIT
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NIT
3 - 0
FKG
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NIT
1 - 0
FKL
12%
17%
72%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NIT
1 - 1
FKP
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |