Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 5-1
FK Rostov vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
FCR
3 - 1
TRO
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SHK
1 - 1
FCR
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
LPL
2 - 2
FCR
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
FCR
3 - 1
ZIL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FCR
2 - 2
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
ZIL
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZEN
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 0
FTC
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STU
0 - 5
SPA
7%
16%
77%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
SPA
5 - 0
RUZ
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |