FK Rostov vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
9º
7º
7
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 66 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 62 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 57 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 33 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 27 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
KHI
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
FCR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZEN
5 - 0
FCR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
FCR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 3
LOK
30%
23%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
AKT
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
5 - 1
GAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
GAZ
28%
23%
50%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |