FK Rostov vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
9º
7º
13
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 2
FCR
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 2
FCR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
DMK
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 1
FCR
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 1
FCR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
4 - 0
BEO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
YAR
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
URA
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |