Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rodina Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 4
FKR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 0
DMK
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
FKR
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 1
AKT
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PKU
1 - 0
FKR
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PKU
2 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
TYU
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
KAM
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DMK
1 - 0
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKL
0 - 1
CHE
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |