FK Radnički Lukavac vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
14º
16º
16º
16
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
21 | 60 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 58 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Radnički Lukavac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
JED
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
0 - 1
RAD
78%
15%
6%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
GRD
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
BUD
15%
22%
64%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOS
2 - 0
RAD
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 1
GOR
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
ZVI
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
JED
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
0 - 1
GRD
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |