Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-3
Gabala FK vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
AZA
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 0
FKQ
43%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZIR
0 - 3
FKQ
53%
26%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FKN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
SIO
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 2
SAM
23%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 3
SAM
19%
27%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
DTB
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |