Gabala FK vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
10º
10º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SFK
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 2
ZIR
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
SFK
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
SEB
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |