Gabala FK vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
10º
10º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SFK
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 2
ZIR
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUR
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
SFK
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
SEB
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |