Gabala FK vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
10º
10º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SEB
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
QAR
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FKQ
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 0
ZIR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFK
1 - 1
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
ZIR
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 0
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 2
ARA
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |