Pohronie vs Žilina II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
6º
6º
10
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
14 | 51 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 48 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 44 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 44 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 41 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 40 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 35 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 24 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 24 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 21 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pohronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
POD
2 - 2
FKP
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKP
3 - 1
POD
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KOM
4 - 0
FKP
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKP
1 - 4
ZBR
28%
22%
50%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TAT
4 - 1
FKP
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 0
MFK
68%
16%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SGO
7 - 1
ZLI
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TRI
5 - 2
ZLI
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PET
5 - 1
ZLI
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ZLI
0 - 1
FKS
73%
15%
11%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |