Pobjeda vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ZVI
1 - 0
MLA
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
7 - 0
ZVI
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZVI
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ZVI
2 - 0
GOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IGM
0 - 0
ZVI
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |