Pobeda Khasavyurt vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
14º
14º
19
2º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 64 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 58 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 52 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 36 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 20 |
17º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pobeda Khasavyurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BIO
2 - 2
FKP
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 3
FKP
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 0
FKP
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FKZ
1 - 3
FKP
87%
9%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
FKP
0 - 5
DOR
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 2
DIN
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 0
NAL
24%
23%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 5
NAL
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAL
4 - 0
MAS
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
LEG
2 - 0
NAL
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |