FK Pobeda AD vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
POB
2 - 2
EGN
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
FCS
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 0
RAB
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
RAB
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
TIK
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 1
KGE
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TIK
4 - 1
VOK
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
MAK
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |