FK Pobeda AD vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
64.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
POB
74%
19%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
3 - 0
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
19%
28%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 1
FKS
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
RAB
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 3
AKP
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |