Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Partizan Belgrade vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 0
FKS
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
9%
21%
70%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
0 - 1
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
SHI
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
SHI
3 - 0
TPE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 2
SHI
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SHI
2 - 2
GAN
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |