Champions League 1/16
Global 2-2
Partizan Belgrade vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PAR
0 - 2
DYN
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DYN
3 - 0
PAR
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 1
PAR
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
KOL
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 2
SGD
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 0
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 2
SGD
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
SGD
3 - 1
BCB
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
FVF
1 - 2
SGD
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | -1 |