Europa League 1/16
Global 4-4
Partizan Belgrade vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
SSO
0 - 5
PAR
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
PAR
5 - 0
SSO
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 3
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 1
LEC
76%
16%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
BOL
0 - 1
ROM
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
FCN
1 - 3
ROM
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
PES
0 - 0
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
ROM
4 - 1
PES
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |