Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Partizan Belgrade vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
3 - 0
GÓR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
GÓR
2 - 2
PAR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
SGD
6 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
PAR
0 - 0
SGD
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
UJP
2 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1974 |
POR
2 - 1
VAL
53%
20%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
VAL
0 - 0
POR
66%
17%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
POR
3 - 2
BEO
46%
21%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
BEO
5 - 1
POR
59%
19%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |