Partizan Belgrade vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GNK
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SHK
0 - 1
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
SHK
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 2
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NPA
2 - 1
ZEM
65%
23%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 3
NPA
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NPA
2 - 0
BAS
44%
28%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 0
NPA
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
NPA
0 - 0
RAD
50%
27%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |