Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Partizan Belgrade vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRV
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
2 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
RAD
1 - 2
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 1
MOG
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
2 - 0
NTT
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
COV
1 - 5
NEW
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
2 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
4 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |