Partizan Belgrade vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BEA
3 - 4
PAR
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
BUD
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
OBI
0 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
RAD
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
BBD
1 - 1
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
NKD
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
24%
29%
48%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |