Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 3
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
MON
1 - 0
PAR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
NAN
4 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
NAN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCB
0 - 0
FLA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
FLA
1 - 1
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 2
HJK
64%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
HJK
3 - 2
FLA
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |