Champions League 1/16
Global 2-6
Partizan Belgrade vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
JUV
5 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 2
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
DUK
2 - 1
CSK
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
CSK
4 - 4
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CSK
1 - 1
MAL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1960 |
MAL
1 - 0
CSK
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |