Q. Europa League Play-off Final
Global 1-4
Partizan Belgrade vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZEM
0 - 1
PAR
11%
23%
66%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAR
47%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
MLA
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
BJK
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
LAS
2 - 1
BJK
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
2 - 1
AKB
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
1 - 0
LAS
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BJK
6 - 0
B36
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |