Europa League Last 16
Global 2-5
Partizan Belgrade vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
5 - 0
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
3 - 0
GÓR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
GÓR
2 - 2
PAR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
SGD
6 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
KOL
0 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
MON
1 - 1
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
KOL
3 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1974 |
KOL
3 - 2
DBU
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
EBT
1 - 4
KOL
38%
24%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |