Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 0-3
FK Panevėžys vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
PAN
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
MTA
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
3 - 3
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 0
PET
41%
23%
37%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
TNS
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
FTC
39%
22%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |