FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
10º
8º
42
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
KZA
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 2
HLI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
PAN
23%
28%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
SUD
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
ZAL
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
SUD
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 3
FAS
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
FAS
10%
17%
73%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |