FK Panevėžys vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
10º
8º
42
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
DTE
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 0
PAN
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FKT
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
DTE
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 0
DTE
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 2
BAN
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 2
HLI
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |