Otrant Ulcinj vs Nikšić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
0
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
3 - 0
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
4 - 0
OUL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 3
KOM
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
5 - 0
OUL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
KOM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 0
OFK
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 0
ZET
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 1
OFK
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BOK
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |