Otrant Ulcinj vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
BOK
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 0
OUL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 3
SUT
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
OUL
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 2
DEC
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
PET
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOK
2 - 0
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JEZ
2 - 2
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 0
FKA
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 1
MOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |