Otrant Ulcinj vs FK Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
44
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OUL
4 - 3
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
DEC
4 - 0
OUL
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
OUL
2 - 0
FKD
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
OUL
3 - 2
LOV
29%
27%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
BOK
4 - 2
OUL
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FK Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 1
FKA
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
FKA
4 - 0
MLJ
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
MLJ
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MLJ
3 - 2
IKD
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 1
MLJ
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |