Otrant Ulcinj vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GRB
1 - 3
OUL
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 0
INT
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MLJ
2 - 1
OUL
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
IGA
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
OUL
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BOK
3 - 1
LOV
59%
23%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
2 - 1
KOM
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LOV
2 - 2
IKD
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 2
LOV
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |