Otrant Ulcinj vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
OUL
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
BOK
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
KOM
0 - 1
OUL
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 3
IKD
38%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOV
0 - 0
OUL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 2
LOV
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
IGA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
IGA
2 - 1
GRB
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BOK
2 - 1
IGA
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IGA
2 - 1
INT
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |