Otrant Ulcinj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
OUL
0 - 0
JED
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MLJ
2 - 1
OUL
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OUL
0 - 0
BOK
31%
30%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IGA
2 - 1
OUL
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
OUL
1 - 1
JEZ
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEC
6 - 1
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
JED
2 - 1
DEC
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEC
2 - 0
MLJ
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BOK
3 - 0
DEC
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
DEC
0 - 2
IGA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |